Our Energy Vision

In October 2021, we released our Energy Vision – a vital piece of work guiding our long-term planning and supporting other energy system stakeholders in formulating policies, reforms and investments that enable the rapid and orderly decarbonisation of our energy system.

Developed in collaboration with independent experts, CSIRO, ClimateWorks Australia and The Brattle Group, our Energy Vision models the implications of six possible future scenarios for Australia’s energy system over the coming years to 2050.

The scenarios range from a future based on current trends, to a backwards-looking sharp slump in Australia’s economic growth, to more optimistic scenarios in which Australia hits the Paris Agreement’s aspirational 1.5°C decarbonisation target and becomes a global, clean energy superpower.

Our analysis indicates that Australia’s energy system is critical to enabling a decarbonised economy and key to seizing the opportunity to grow our economy and jobs in a clean energy future. The transition towards a clean energy future can create immense opportunity for Australia – if we set ourselves on the optimal course.

Our evidence-based vision is for Australia to become a global clean energy leader, benefitting communities, the economy and the environment. Modelling shows that, with the right policies in place and with all stakeholders working together towards a mutually agreed goal, this future is highly achievable. But the pace of change needs to rapidly accelerate.

 

Innovation

Transgrid is working with a broad range of stakeholders to build the energy system needed to thrive in a clean energy future. Our partners in this important work include State and Federal Governments, the Australian Energy Market Operator (AEMO) and other transmission and distribution network service providers.

Ensuring transition happens reliably

The electricity system is transitioning away from coal and towards renewables at an accelerating rate – even faster than expected. Transgrid remains focused on ensuring that energy supplies continue to be safe, secure and reliable for consumers throughout the energy transition. In FY22, we developed a System Security Roadmap to support the rapid transition we anticipate, ensuring system security capabilities, assets and services will be in place when they are needed.

By 2025, AEMO forecasts that the NEM could experience periods with up to 100% instantaneous renewable energy penetration. This will be rare at first but, by 2030, dispatch periods at 100% renewables are forecast to be quite common. Recognising we need to be ready for these conditions when they appear, during the year, Transgrid has set a goal to ‘lead the implementation of a transmission system capable of operating at 100% instantaneous renewable generation by 2025 to safely deliver reliable energy to consumers’.

The power system is becoming more distributed, dynamic and unpredictable, and increasingly complex to operate. Looking ahead, system operators will need better planning capabilities and tools to support decision making in real time. As part of the System Security Roadmap, Transgrid identified the new tools and capabilities needed to ensure our control rooms continue to be fit-for purpose to operate securely and reliably, and how they must evolve to reflect the changing composition of the power system. We have now commenced designing and delivering these tools.

Decoupling system security from coal

The power system currently relies on a certain number of coal or gas generation units being online at all times to keep the system operating securely. These units, which provide critical system security services, are starting to retire and operate less frequently. By 2024-25, AEMO forecasts there may be periods when the minimum coal units required for system security in NSW, will not be available.

In FY22, we accelerated our efforts to develop system strength from other sources, planning how we will decouple system security from thermal generation - building resilience by ensuring system security services are always available, even when thermal units are offline.

Developing the world’s largest renewable energy mini-grid

In FY22, we selected a new type of renewable energy and storage mini-grid to provide backup power supply to Broken Hill, instead of using conventional diesel generators. The new mini-grid will use compressed air storage in a disused mine, in conjunction with existing local wind and solar generation. This initiative will be an Australian first and one of the largest renewable mini-grids to be created worldwide. It’s expected to create at least 260 construction jobs and a further 70 ongoing permanent roles.

Unlocking capacity on the existing transmission network

During the year, our people continued to come up with innovative solutions to get more out of our existing energy infrastructure. For example, the Victoria-NSW Interconnector upgrade will unlock an extra 170MW of additional energy to the NSW grid, enough to power 30,000 customer homes. Instead of building new ‘poles and wires’, we are installing SmartValve units. The system works by detecting areas of congestion in the network and automatically redirecting flows to less congested lines, helping remove bottlenecks on the grid.

This is the first time SmartValve technology has been deployed on a 330kV network, on a large scale, in the Southern Hemisphere. The project was significantly less expensive and faster than the alternative of building or upgrading a transmission line.

Trialling grid-scale batteries

In FY22, Transgrid continued to trial the use of grid-scale batteries. In December 2021, the first large-scale grid battery in NSW began operation at our Wallgrove substation in Western Sydney.

We are using the Wallgrove battery to provide synthetic inertia services, while renting the rest of the battery to a market participant to trade in the wholesale energy and ancillary services markets.

By ‘value stacking’ co-optimised services, we will drive efficiencies and reduce costs for consumers. In late 2022, we expect to commission ‘Virtual Machine Mode’ on the battery, when we start testing and verifying its capabilities to provide system security services. If successful, we hope to demonstrate that batteries may be able to provide these services at a lower cost than other technology options.

During the year, we also identified opportunities to use grid-scale Battery Energy Storage Systems (BESS) to reduce or defer the need for new poles and wires. BESS deliver services more quickly than conventional transmission infrastructure can be deployed, avoiding the risk of supply outages in the short term.

At year end, areas where a BESS had been identified as part of the preferred option to maintain a reliable electricity supply included:

  • Bathurst, Orange and Parkes – Batteries at substations at Panorama and Parkes can help to manage voltage variations during high demand periods.

  • NSW North West Slopes region – A battery in the Gunnedah area can manage thermal constraints and voltage variations during high demand periods.

  • South-Western NSW – A three-year contract, with a BESS currently in development in the area, can provide network support services in the interim while a new transmission line is constructed and commissioned.

These projects are among the first in the NEM where solutions involving large-scale batteries have outperformed other options throughout the regulatory test (without subsidies).

Major projects update

During the year, our major projects marked key milestones, including the start of construction on Transgrid’s $1.8 billion EnergyConnect project, which will help to revolutionise the National Electricity Market. Work on upgrades to interconnectors between Queensland and NSW (QNI) and Victoria and NSW (VNI) continued to approach completion while the Powering Sydney’s Future (PSF) project reached the final stage of work to secure the future energy supply to Sydney's CBD and its surrounds.